اثر پول هوشمند در صندوق‌های سرمایه گذاری مشترک

نوع مقاله : مقاله علمی پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 استادیار دانشکدة مدیریت و حسابداری، دانشگاه علامه طباطبایی، تهران، ایران

2 کارشناس‎ارشد مدیریت مالی، دانشگاه علامه طباطبایی، تهران، ایران

3 کارشناس‎ارشد مدیریت بازرگانی گرایش مالی دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد تهران شمال، تهران، ایران

چکیده

هدف این پژوهش بررسی توانایی سرمایه‌گذاران صندوق‌ها به‌طورکلی و همچنین بررسی توانایی سرمایه‌گذاران حقیقی و حقوقی به‌طور جداگانه در پیش‎بینی عملکرد صندوق‎های سرمایه‎گذاری مشترک در آینده و انتخاب صندوق کاراتر است. برای پاسخ به این پرسش که آیا سرمایه‌گذاران توانایی پیش‌بینی کارایی و عملکرد صندوق‌ها را در آینده دارند یا خیر، اطلاعات چهل صندوق سرمایه‌گذاری مشترک فعال در بورس اوراق بهادار تهران، در بازة زمانی 36 ماهه از ابتدای سال 1390 تا انتهای سال 1392 جمع‌آوری شد. همچنین، با استفاده از مدل فاما و فرنچ و همچنین کارهارت، بازده تعدیل‌شده در برابر ریسک دو پرتفوی شامل
1. پرتفوی صندوق‌ها با جریان نقدی خالص مثبت، 2. پرتفوی صندوق‌ها با جریان نقدی خالص منفی، با دو رویکرد پرتفوی و رویکرد رگرسیون به‌منظور بررسی هوشیاری سرمایه‌گذاران تخمین زده شد. نتیجة استفاده از مدل‌های مذکور مشخص کرد سرمایه‌گذاران توانایی انتخاب صندوق‌های مناسب برای سرمایه‌گذاری را نداشته‌اند. همچنین، تفاوت شایان‌توجهی بین توانایی انتخاب صندوق توسط سرمایه‌گذاران حقوقی و سرمایه‌گذاران حقیقی وجود ندارد

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

Smart Money Effect In Mutual Funds

نویسندگان [English]

  • Mohammad Hassan Ebrahimi Sarveolia 1
  • Nooshin Rostami Asrabadi 2
  • Elmira Fahami 3
1 Assistant Professor and faculty Member, Allameh Tabataba’i University
2 M.S Degree in Financial Management , Allameh Tabatabaie University
3 M.S Degree in Financial Management, Azad North Branch University
چکیده [English]

The Purpose of this research is to evaluate the ability of mutual funds investors to forecast the performance of mutual funds and selecting the best performed funds. It should be mentioned that both individual and institutional investors have been evaluated in this study. In order to answer the question whether the investors have the ability to forecast the performance of mutual funds or not, we have gathered 40 Iranian mutual funds data that are founded and active in Tehran stock exchange market. Time period of this assessment data is 36 months, from the beginning of March 2011 to the end of March 2014. We have constructed two portfolios of new money. The first portfolio consists of all funds with a positive net cash flow. The second portfolio comprises all funds with a negative net cash flow. Next, we estimate the performance of each of the portfolios using both the Fama-French’s (1993) model and the Carhart’s (1997) model including a momentum factor. The result of using the mentioned models showed that investors are unable to select the appropriate fund, also there is not a significant difference between the ability of individual and institutional investors for selecting the best performed funds.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Institutional investors
  • Mutual Funds
  • net cash flows
  • Individual investors
  • smartness of investors
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